The Econometric Analysis On The Monthly Income Generated From Sales Of Legend Guilder, And Maltina Drinks In Nigeria (PDF/DOC)
This project has the aim of studying the analysis on the monthly income generated from the sale of stout, Guilder and Maltina drinks in Nigeria Breweries Ibadan Oyo State. The study employed the use of statistical method like Multicollinearity, Autocorrelation, hetrosedasticity, individual coefficient multiple regression analysis. The result of the analysis shows that there is a relationship between Stout, Guilder and Maltina drinks. It also has predictive power of an increase.
1.0 Introduction
Econometrics can be described as a branch of social science that deals with the measurement of economic relationship. This form of relationship or used by government and private sector to formulate economic as well as to make decisions.
The most tools of econometrics is regression analysis and it studies the relationship that between variable (two or more than two). In order to carryout econometric in analysis and to show the important of econometric analysis is how economic variable depends one another there is a need to carryout some test, base on information or data collected from an industry. It is also necessary to know the data analysis technique to put in place for analyzing the know variable.
1.1 Historical Background Of Nigeria Breweries Plc Ibadan Oyo State.
Nigeria Breweries plc, the largest brewery company in Nigeria was incorporated in 1946 and recorded a land mark when the first bottle of star larger beer Rolled off the bottling line in its Lagos Brewery in June 1949. This was followed by Aba Breweries which was commissioned in 1957., Kaduna Brewery was established in 1963 followed by Ibadan Brewery in 1982. The company established its fifty Brewery in Enugu in September, 1993, on April 9, 2001 the AMA Greenfield was commissioned and from its beginning in 1946 the company now has five operational Breweries from which its high quality product are distributed to all part of this country.
Nigeria Breweries Plc has rich portfolios of high quality brand which are has four varieties (Maltina classic Maltina Strewbery, Maltina exotic and Maltina with principle) Legend Extra Stout December 1992 Amtel Malt (1994) and Schweppes range of carbonated soft drinks included in December 1996 (Schweppes soda water). It was followed by the lunch of crush orange in November 1997 and Schweppes pine apple in October 1999. The company had earlier hundred into the Nigeria market Heineken Larger beer in June 1998. The company decided to exist the carbonated soft drinks market in August 2001, because of the need to concentrate on its area of core competence.
Nigerian Breweries Plc is a socially responsible corporate citizen with a very good record of corporate philanthropy in the areas of education, environment and communication among others. The company in 1994 establish on education. Trust fund #100 million to take more active part in the finding of educational and research facilities in higher citadel of learning’s all an effort to provide and encourage academic excellence in Nigeria. This is in addition to its secondary and university scholarship programme for children of its employees.
1.1 Aims and Objectives
The aim and objective of this project is to show the rate at which the general public is lovely interested in purchasing alcoholic and Maltina drinks.
To determine comparism between the independent variable and dependent variable
To know the types of relationship that exists between the independent and dependent variable.
To calculate the parameter of the econometrics model and test their significance.
To derive the equation that can be used to predict the sales
To forecast the factors value of the variable of the model
To formulate the economic policy and test a decision using the parameter obtained.
1.2 Scope and Coverage
Econometric base on the calculation of economic relationship. The scope of this project is based on the income generated on the sales of three specified product of Nigeria Breweries Ibadan, Oyo State, namely stout larger beer, Guilder larger beer and maltina drinks.
1.3 Problem Encountered
There are many problem that a researcher has to encounter in collecting data for research work in carrying out this research work some problem are listed in the subsequent paragraphs.
Reluctance of primary data owner to release their data.
Transport risk is involved due to a traveling from one place to another during the course of the research work.
There is also a financial problem a ransom huge of money may be needed for research work.
Unavailability of relevance data due to some certain circumstance e.g. during political crises data may not be able to be collected for a particular month, during the N.U.R.T.W. (National Union of Road Transport Workers) crises data may also not to be accurately collected.
Error may arises due to mis-interpretation of figures approximation rounding off and even translation of errors.
Result, Summary, Recommendation and Conclusion
5.1 Summary of Findings
The assumption for multicollinearity by using Farah-Glauba test and chi-square test to test for the presence of multcollinearity and there is no multicollinearity problem.
Also for Hetroscedastiocity by using Goldfield and Quandt test to test whether the disturbance variance is constant at each observation point or not.
The disturbance variance are not heteroscedaticity but homoscadasticity and for autrocorrelation by using Durbin watson test closer to 2 than 1, hence, this implies that there is no autocorrelation.
All the test above show that feature of an econometric data analyzed through an econometric techniques.
After all the receivingstatistical analysis have been carried out in the model Y = 1064.837 +1.016449X1 + 1.769546X2 + 2.890084E – 02X3 looking at the estimated regression parameter β1, β2, β3 are positive coefficient.
This means that β1, β2, β3 are contribute to the total income generated from stout, Guilder and Maltina drinks in Nigeria Breweries company Plc.
In other word there is relationship between the total income on stout Guilder and Maltina drinks in Nigeria breweries plc.
While β1,β2, β3are contributing partively to the total income because of the positive value.
5.2 Conclusion
The main objective of this research work is to know which of the explanation variable have effect most in the total income of stout, Guilder and maltina drinks in Nigeria breweries company Plc. From the result of the analysis, it is obvious that there is direct relationship among the total income and stout, Guilder and maltina drinks since the coefficient is positive F – test show that all the independent variable have effect on total income generated from Nigeria breweries company plc.
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