Effect Of External Development On The Economic Growth

5 Chapters
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50 Pages
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5,584 Words
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External development, encompassing factors such as foreign investment, technological advancements, and international trade, plays a fundamental role in shaping economic growth. Foreign direct investment (FDI) injects capital into domestic industries, fostering productivity enhancements and job creation. Moreover, technological transfers accompanying foreign investments facilitate innovation diffusion and the adoption of advanced production techniques, bolstering overall efficiency. International trade enables access to wider markets, stimulating competition, and fostering specialization, thereby enhancing productivity and promoting economic diversification. Additionally, exposure to external markets cultivates learning opportunities, facilitates knowledge spillovers, and encourages institutional improvements, all of which are vital contributors to sustained economic growth.

TABLE OF CONTENT

Chapter One
Introduction
1.1 Background Of The Study
1.2 Statement Of The Problem
1.3 Objective Of The Study.
The Objectives Of The Study Include:
1.4 Research Hypothesis
1.5 Significance Of The Study.
1.6 Scope Of The Study
1.7 Limitations Of The Study

Chapter Two
Literature Review
2.1 Theoretical Literature
2.1.1 Causes Of Nigeria’s External Debt Problems.
2.1.2 Nigeria’s Debt Management Strategies.
2.1.2.1 Limit On Debt Payments.
2.1.2.2 Debt Restructuring
2.1.2.3 Debt Conversion
2.1.3.4 Debt Cancellation
2.1.3 Role Of External Debt/ Borrowing In Economic Growth.
2.2 Empirical Literature

Chapter Three
Research Methodology
3.1 Research Design
3.2 Methodology
3.3 Model Specification
3.3.1 Dependent Variable
3.3.2 Explanatory Or Independent Variable
3.3.3 Structural Presentation Of The Model.
3.3.4 Mathematical Presentation Of The Model.
3.4 Method Of Evaluation.
3.5 Justification Of The Model
3.6 Sources Of Data And Method Of Collection

Chapter Four
Data Analysis And Interpretation Of Result
4.1 Presentation Of Result
4.2 Result Interpretation
4.2.1 Analysis Of Regression Coefficients:
4.2.2 Statistical Evaluation Of Result
4.2.3econometric Test (Second Order Test)
4.3. Hypothesis Testing:

Chapter Five
5.1 Summary Of Findings
5.2 Recommendations
5.3 Conclusion
Bibliography
Journals

CHAPTER ONE

INTODUCTION
1.1 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY

The accumulation of external debt is a common phenomenon of the third World countries at the stage of economic growth and development where the supply of domestic savings is low, current account payment deficit is high and import of capital is needed to increase domestic resources.
The management of Nigeria’s external debt has been a major macroeconomic problem especially since the early 1980s. For many years now, the country’s debt has been growing in spite of the efforts being made by the Government to manage and minimize its crushing effects on the nation’s economy. Such efforts range from the various refinancing and restructuring agreements to debt conversion programme and the deliberate allocation of substantial resources towards servicing the debt. Of particular concern to the authorities, is the heavy debt burden it imposes when compared with the country’s debt service capacity.
In recent years, however, some observers have held different perceptions about Nigeria’s capacity or otherwise to service her debt. This is largely because of the improved income to the country arising from export of crude
oil, Nigeria’s major export. Moreover others have argued that bad governance, especially during the military rule,largely accounted for the mismanagement of the Nigerian economy and therefore, the people should bear the brunt. Whatever position one holds, what appears undisputableis the increasingly large debt service requirement which imposes considerable stress on the Nigerian economy even when the improved resource inflow is factored into the country’s cash flows. Indeed, the issue of sustainability of Nigeria’s debt profile continued to be the focus of research and public debate until the recent initiative of the Paris Club of Creditors which appears to address the issue in a more meaningful way.
Even then the conditions and adequacy of the debt relief have continued to generate further debate.
The objective of this paper is to review Nigeria’s external debt and the burden it imposes, and use the various indicators and prevailing global economic circumstances to justify the need for substantial debt relief for the country.
However, during the late 70s and early 80s, commercial banks began playing a big role in international lending by recycling surplus OPEC ‘’petrodollars’’ and issuing general purpose loans to less developed countries to provide balance of payment support and expansion of export sectors. While foreign borrowing can be highly beneficial providing the resources necessary to promote economic growth and development, it has its cost. In recent years, these costs have greatly outweighed the benefits for many developing nations. The main cost associated with the accumulation of a large external debt is ‘’debt serving’’.
Debt servicing is the payment of liquidation of the principal and accumulated interest. It is a contractually fixed exchange on domestic real income and savings as the debt grows or as interest rate raise. Debt service payment must be made with foreign exchange. In other words, debt service obligation can be met only through export earnings.
However, should the composition of import change or should the composition of export change or should interest rate rise causing ballooning of debt service payment or should export earnings diminish, debt servicing difficulties are likely to arise. This has been the experience of most of the heavily indebted third World nations.
In order to solve the problem, several external debt-financing options were adopted under the Structural Adjustment Programme (SAP) in 1986. Since the introduction of this programme, Nigerians have been plunged into one hardship after another ranging from the devaluation of the naira through Second Tie Foreign Exchange Market (SFEM) now Foreign Exchange Market (FEM) to the rising prices of commodities, inflation etc. SAP as an economic
restructuring program is capable of alleviating the country’s debt trap, a miracle Nigerian’s are waiting to see.
Specifically, as part of the programmatic approach to reduce the burden of external debt, embargo on new loans, limit on debt service payment, debt restricting and debt conversion have been adopted in recent years.

1.2 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
The aim of any well-co-ordinated and articulated economic policy is to achieve a sustained economic growth and development. However, a proper understanding of what development is will enable a policy maker to formulate appropriate policies for the acceleration of economic growth. In other words, the nature of the development policy of a country will depend on how policy makers of the country perceive growth.
The insistence of the need of external assistance obscures the necessity for the people of poor countries themselves to develop the facilities, attitudes and institutions which are required if these societies are to achieve sustained substantial material process. Indeed, these insistences are external aids to help perpetuate the ideas and attitude widespread in these countries which are changing the economic progress.
The rapid growing foreign debt, its consequent payment problem and lack of appropriate debt management has plummeted the country into a turbulent economic crisis, balance of payment problem, foreign exchange sequence scarcity of essential items ( including raw materials and spare parts) which led to the closure of many factories, retrenchment of workers, high rate of unemployment and underemployment. Embarking on productive ventures for instance led to waste of resources and of course, poor economic performance.

1.3 OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY
The objectives of the study include:
I) To determine the relationship between external debt and economic growth in Nigeria.
II) To determine the impact of external debt on the economic growth in Nigeria.
III) To examine the size and trend of external debt on the economic growth in Nigeria.

1.4 RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS
I) H0: There is no relationship between external debt and economic growth in Nigeria.
ii) H0: There is no impact of external debt on economic growth in Nigeria.
iii) H0: External debt has no trend and size on the economic growth in Nigeria.

1.5 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY
The significance of the study has to do with the impacts or effects of the study on the people. Therefore, the significance of this study seeks to highlight on the following factors:
I) The study serves as a guide for future governmental policy on debt minimization and control.
ii) Also the study will bring to notice on the entire citizens the impact of the external debt on the welfare and living standard.

1.6 SCOPE OF THE STUDY
The project covers the structures of Nigeria’s external debt, its management techniques and some factors that contributed to the huge debt. The time frame of this project is 1989-2009 was chosen because it allows an analysis of the Structural Adjustment Programme (SAP) which was at this period, partly solve the debt crisis and partly foster sustainable economic growth.

1.7 LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY
This study is basically restricted to the effect of external debt on the Nigeria economy growth. The research was not able to gather all the necessary materials from all the secondary sources needed for the study due to unforeseen circumstances resulting from time and financial constraints.

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Effect Of External Development On The Economic Growth:

External development, also known as external factors or influences, can have a significant impact on economic growth in a country or region. These external factors encompass a wide range of elements, including international trade, foreign investment, global economic conditions, geopolitical events, and technological advancements. Here’s how external development can affect economic growth:

  1. International Trade: Trade plays a pivotal role in economic growth. Increased access to international markets can lead to higher exports, which, in turn, can boost a country’s economic output. Importing goods and services can also lead to increased competitiveness and access to resources not available domestically.
  2. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI): When foreign companies invest in a country, it can stimulate economic growth. FDI can bring in capital, technology, management expertise, and job opportunities. This often leads to increased production, improved infrastructure, and greater economic diversification.
  3. Global Economic Conditions: Global economic conditions, including economic cycles, recessions, and booms, can have a significant impact on a country’s growth prospects. During periods of global economic growth, countries tend to benefit from increased demand for their exports. Conversely, during global economic downturns, exports may decrease, affecting a country’s economic performance.
  4. Geopolitical Events: Political instability, conflicts, and trade disputes can disrupt economic growth. Geopolitical events can lead to uncertainty in markets, discourage investment, and disrupt supply chains. Conversely, geopolitical stability and positive international relations can foster economic growth by encouraging trade and investment.
  5. Technological Advancements: Advances in technology, often originating from external sources, can lead to productivity gains and economic growth. Access to new technologies can improve efficiency in various sectors, from agriculture to manufacturing and services, leading to higher output and economic expansion.
  6. Global Financial Markets: Changes in global financial markets, including fluctuations in exchange rates and interest rates, can affect a country’s economic growth. Exchange rate fluctuations can impact a country’s competitiveness in international markets, while changes in interest rates can influence borrowing costs and investment decisions.
  7. Global Supply Chains: Many industries rely on global supply chains. Disruptions in these supply chains, such as natural disasters, pandemics, or trade restrictions, can lead to production slowdowns and economic setbacks.
  8. Environmental Factors: Environmental developments, such as climate change and natural disasters, can have a significant impact on economic growth. Increased frequency and severity of natural disasters can damage infrastructure and disrupt economic activities.
  9. Global Regulatory Changes: Changes in international regulations, such as trade agreements or environmental standards, can affect a country’s economic growth by influencing trade patterns and business operations.
  10. Access to Finance: External financial institutions and investors can provide access to capital, which is essential for economic development. Loans, grants, and investments from external sources can fund infrastructure projects and other initiatives that spur economic growth.

In summary, external development factors can both positively and negatively impact economic growth. A country’s ability to adapt to and leverage these external factors often plays a crucial role in determining its economic performance. Policymakers and businesses need to monitor and respond to external developments to navigate their effects on economic growth effectively.