Investment Appraisal In A Depressed Economy

(A Case Study Of Cadbury Nigeria Plc)

5 Chapters
|
114 Pages
|
14,709 Words

Investment appraisal in a depressed economy involves a comprehensive evaluation of potential investment opportunities amidst challenging economic conditions. In such environments, investors face heightened uncertainty, decreased consumer confidence, and constrained financial resources. The appraisal process necessitates meticulous scrutiny of factors like cash flow projections, risk assessments, and market dynamics to identify viable investment avenues resilient to economic downturns. Strategies may entail diversification, focusing on defensive sectors, or leveraging innovative financial instruments to mitigate risk and enhance returns. Effective investment appraisal in a depressed economy demands astute analysis, adaptability to fluctuating market conditions, and a keen awareness of emerging opportunities amidst adversity.

ABSTRACT

Investment appraisal in a depressed economy tries to center of how possible it is for business men to invest in the economy with it downward slide.
It also looks at the different investment raise techniques that can be used in appraising the different types of investment questionnaire were given to twenty-five respondents of the study company.
Cad bury who air there view bout the topic and though the response made by them, following findings were made.
1. The interest holders can be the director, shareholders employees, the government among others.
2. On the totality appraisal of investment has been discovered to head to effective planning & controlling of the enterprising scarce resources.
3. Delivering into investment, which can maximize the shareholders wealth.
4. That investment appraisal should be undertaken by any company that wants to from with the finding the following recommendations were made.
5. That investment appraisal should be carried out by any firm that wants to attain the height of a rising stain.
6. Knowledge of investment appraisal should be taught in the lower level of education to create awareness.
7. Schools should be enforced to carry out research based on the discovered of new investment appraisal techniques.
8. Companies should conduct in door training to boost the knowledge of their staff.
9. Government should help in the finding of the various research into how ways of appraising investment.
10. Appraisal should not take cognizance of only one method.
A comprising of both the modern & traditional method should be undertaken. In concluding it was discovered that there exist basically two method which is preferable since it takes cognizance of the time value of money. In an economy like Nigeria where prices has a dynamic term, it because imperative to justify every kobo spent the appraisal ensures that return is maximized. Where upon after every analysis made, some of the respondent agreed that available techniques are out dated and needed being improved upon.

TABLE OF CONTENT

Cover page
Title page
Approval page
Dedication
Acknowledgment
Abstract
List of table
Table of contents

CHAPTER ONE
1.0 INTRODUCTION
1.1 Evaluation of investment appraisal
1.2 Objective of the study
1.3 Scope of the study
1.4 Significance of the study
1.5 Limitation of the study
1.6 Historical development of Cadbury Nigeria PLC.
1.7 Merit and demerit of investment appraisal

CHAPTER TWO
2.0 REVIEW OF RELATED LITERATURE
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Definition of investment appraisal
2.3 Area of investment appraisal
2.4 Procedure for investment appraisal
2.5 Reasons for investment appraisal
2.6 Decision to invest
2.7 Types of investment appraisal
2.8 Other methods of investment appraisal
2.9 The effect of inflation of investment appraisal
2.10 Problems of investment appraisal

CHAPTER THREE
3.0 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.1 Methods adopted
3.2 Description of research instrument
3.3 Sample size
3.4 Conduct of the field work
3.5 Analytical procedure

CHAPTER FOUR
4.0 ANALYSIS, INTERPRETATION AND PRESENTATION OF DATA
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Data analysis and interpretation
4.3 Data presentation

CHAPTER FIVE
5.0 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
5.1 Summary of major findings
5.2 Conclusion
5.3 Recommendations
Appendix 1
Appendix II
Bibliography

CHAPTER ONE

1.1 EVOLUTION OF INVESTMENT APPRAISAL.
Different school of thoughts on the reasons for the existence of a business organization. While some believe that profit in the sole reason for existence, other believe that a business exist in order to survive the vagaries facing the business and its owners.
With proper evaluation of this school of thought, one would be persuaded to believe that the perceptions of this various schools of thought about the reasons for the existence of a business entity an be likened to the stony of the five blind men who were ask to inspect an elephant with each giving an account of the elephant with the perception of the area he could feel with his hands. It is therefore with a view to creating uniformity in the perception of managers for the reasons for the existence of a business entity that the great management philosopher, Peter F. Drucker in his book “The nature of management” propounded eight reasons for existence of business entity.
The reasons stated are;
i. Profitability to make profit
ii. Productivity: To produce consumable goods and provide essential services to its customer.
iii. Innovation: To experiment and generate new ideas of production of goods and deliverance of services.
iv. Financial standing: To improve the liquidity status of the company at any point in time.
v. Physical resources: To ensure that the resources employed in the management of the organization are not only maintained but also under safe custody and made easily available for production.
vi. Workers attitude and performance: The workers stand as on epitome of the organizational attitude hence polished manner and cheerful attitude is expected to win customers for the organization.
vii. Manager performance and development: The managers are the catalyst upon which the workers act and the enhanced performance of the manager would be testament to high motivation of he work force and invariably in proved productivity.
viii. Social responsibility: The business entities do not operate in a vacuum. Due to the fact that it obtain environment and simultaneously release output for consumption of its customers, then it has to be sensitive to the services of the environment in which it operates and this would amount to being socially responsible to its consumers and environs.
Among the reasons given by Drucker one fact still remain glaring that for a business to exist, it has to stake its fund either within or outside he organization with the expectation of returns in order to meet up with the continuity or going concern objectives.

1.2 WHAT IS INVESTMENT APPRAISAL
The fact that the business entrepreneur states his money in ventures which would eventually yield returns for him places him in a position which means he has to be frugal in his spending and avoid frivolous spending which might eventually lead to the devise of the organization. Being frugal in his spending does not mean that the financial manager would be miserly in his outlook to spending but that the venture in which he would invest would improve the financial position of the organization can only be improved if the financial manager invest in projects that are profitable and avoid as much as possible loss bearing investments unless it improve the goodwill of the organization.
DEFINITION OF INVESTMENT APPRAISAL
It is the provision of information that will assist management in making of decisions concerning the investment of capital example includes:
1. Replacement decision
2. Investment for expansion
3. Investment for product improvement and/or cost reduction.
4. New venture
5. Strategic investment.
Investment appraisal therefore is that technique devised by the financial managers as a yardstick for determining the profitability or otherwise of any venture he dabbles into.

1.2 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
The embankment of this area of study stems from an appreciation of techniques of investment appraisal and an innate desire to share the knowledge with those it might be useful to. The paramount objectives of the study could however be narrowed down to:
i. Reference material: To provide a handy material on which other research students can fall back on for reference purpose.
ii. Discussion of Techniques: To bring into light those investment appraisal techniques that are in existence.
iii. Merit and Demerit: To highlight the strengths and weakness of the various investment techniques.
iv. Knowledge acquisition: The dissertational affect is as well directed towards further expansion and acquisition of knowledge based on appraisal of investment
v. To lay fear of future managers who makes judgmental decision.

1.3 SCOPE OF THE STUDY
There seem to exist a limit less lists of researchable area on investment appraisal. An appreciation of this fact has however necessitated that restriction of the research work into an appreciable framework. The research effort is therefore narrowed down to:
i. The dissertation of the various investment appraisal techniques, which aids prudent decision-making.
ii. Te reviews of the various problems, which are likely to be encountered during investment appraisal.
iii. The establishment of variable investment opportunities.
iv. Effect of investment appraisal on the wealth of the shareholders.
v. Improvement of the existing investment appraisal techniques.

SIGNIFICANCE OF STUDY
The Nigerian economy is dwindling drastically as regard finance with the currency of the country, the Naira exchanging to the dollar at close to N100. A dwindle economy with a tint of political instability would naturally discourage flow of investment and a halt in the flow investment would lead to inflation and all its attendant symptoms which highlighted by a depressed economy. Therefore incumbent on the financial managers ensure that in a depressed like Nigeria, not only should investment opportunities be sought but should also be critically appraised with other existing opportunities so that optimum use of the limited finance of the organization is achieved. The problem is not peculiar to Nigeria or the developing countries alone, the importance of investment appraisal is even more appreciated in developed countries where the ideas were passed down. This therefore the objective of this study to bring into lights the usefulness of investment appraisal.

1.5 LIMITATION OF THE STUDY
The discussion of investment appraisal techniques in relation to this project work is from the adoption of the techniques by Cadbury Nigeria ltd. Other organization might possess more useful or even complex ways of appraising investments. Despite this constraint much effort will be exerted in trying to establish technique which may not necessary be applied by Cadbury Nigeria plc.

1.6 HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT OF CADBURY NIGERIA PLC.
Cadbury Nigeria plc was incorporated on the 9th of January 1965 to engage in the food processing business. Its major product lines consist of food, food drinks, sugar confectionery, chocolate and seasoning cubes. The Cadbury Schweppes group of United kingdom which provides the company with technical services under a technical service agreement, approved by the national office of technology acquisition and promotion (NOTAP) holds 40% of the issued share capital while the balance in held by the Nigerian populace.
Due to the fast growth of the company and its need to spread its tentacles to the nooks and crannies of Nigeria, the company has been able to embark on a massive expansionary tactic with branches. In states ranging from Benin City, Enugu, Jos, Kaduna, Kano to states like Owerri, Port Harcourt and Warri.
The companies also have branches in other countries like Cameroon, Coted’ivaire and Switzerland.
The company in al ramification can be termed as a big company, according to section 376 (2) of the companies and Allied matter decree of 1990 (CAMD) stated that a company would be stated to be a small company where it has the following features:
a. Private company limited by shares
b. Company with it turnover not exceeding N2m
c. Net asset not more than N1m.
d. Non of it shareholder is a foreigner.
e. Government has no stake in it activities or a government agent.
f. The directors holders not less than 51% of the equity share capital of the company.
Cadbury Nigeria Plc is a factory from the provision of the decree with respect to their 1997 financial report; the company made a staggering sum of N17B as it turnover and whooping sum of N755m as profit before tax and N640m as profit on ordinary activities after tax.
For a company that parades such an enviable financial success despite an economy fraught with strikes and protest, it is therefore important to keep such a position in order to ensure that the confidence of the shareholders in the management of the company is boosted, with a bid to achieve this ostentatious desire of the management, the company utilizes to the full, the effort of decentralization, which enables the various branches to operate fully as an independent entity with negligible interferences from the head office.
The organization of Cadbury Nigeria Plc entails the division of work between officer into different department. Due to the sensitive role which the finance of the organization plays, a separate department is established to effectively make decision about how the finance for the organization should be effectively utilized so that optimal result is achieved.

1.7 MERIT OF INVESTMENT APPRAISAL:
The following are the merit, which the use of investment appraisal brings.
i. Viability of the investment would be ascertained before committing funds to it.
ii. Adoption of techniques like sensitive analysis will ensure that management adequately under stands which cost, whether variable or fixed is more sensitive and needs more attention than others.
iii. Improved financial position of the enterprise can be achieved.
iv. Acquisition of more experience by the financial manager and the subordinate who might desire to fill managerial vacancies in future.
v. Improvement of profitability of the company, which leads to giving of, more returns to the share holders.

1.7.2 DEMERIT OF INVESTMENT APPRAISAL:
Investment appraisal is not an all sweet affair, despite the advantages it possess, it has some set back and some of these set backs are:
i. It may lead to unnecessary waste of precious time in making decision, as to which investment where investment needs a speedy decision.
ii. Appraisal of investment incorporates some assumption, which may not hold reality.
iii. Avoidable data collections expenses, which may eventually turnout, to be force.
iv. Investment appraisal does not necessary guarantee that an investment would be worthwhile, it only serves as a pointer to worthwhile ness of n investment “Ceteris Paribus”.

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Investment Appraisal In A Depressed Economy:

Investment appraisal in a depressed economy requires careful consideration and a thorough analysis of various factors to make informed decisions. In a depressed economy, economic conditions such as low consumer confidence, reduced demand, and uncertain market trends can significantly impact the potential returns on investments. Here are some key considerations for investment appraisal in a depressed economy:

  1. Risk Assessment:
    • Evaluate the overall economic risk associated with the investment. Consider factors such as market volatility, changes in consumer behavior, and potential regulatory changes.
    • Assess the specific risks related to the industry and market segment in which the investment operates.
  2. Cost-Benefit Analysis:
    • Conduct a detailed cost-benefit analysis to determine the potential returns against the initial investment.
    • Consider both short-term and long-term costs and benefits. In a depressed economy, the payback period may be longer, and the return on investment may be lower.
  3. Cash Flow Analysis:
    • Analyze the projected cash flows associated with the investment. A depressed economy may affect cash flow patterns, and it’s crucial to ensure that the investment can generate positive cash flows over time.
    • Consider conservative estimates and potential variations in cash flow scenarios.
  4. Scenario Planning:
    • Develop different scenarios to account for potential changes in economic conditions. Consider best-case, worst-case, and moderate scenarios to understand the resilience of the investment under various circumstances.
    • Evaluate how sensitive the investment is to changes in economic factors.
  5. Government Policies and Incentives:
    • Be aware of any government policies or incentives that may impact the investment. Some governments may provide support or incentives to encourage investments in specific sectors during economic downturns.
  6. Diversification:
    • Consider diversifying the investment portfolio to spread risk. Diversification can help mitigate the impact of economic downturns on the overall investment strategy.
  7. Long-Term Perspective:
    • Adopt a long-term perspective when evaluating investments. Economic downturns are often cyclical, and investments with long-term potential may recover and provide satisfactory returns when economic conditions improve.
  8. Liquidity Considerations:
    • Assess the liquidity of the investment. In a depressed economy, it’s essential to ensure that the investment can be liquidated if needed without significant loss.
  9. Stress Testing:
    • Conduct stress tests to assess how the investment would perform under extreme economic conditions. This involves analyzing the resilience of the investment in the face of severe economic challenges.
  10. Monitoring and Adaptation:
    • Implement a robust monitoring and adaptation strategy. Regularly review the performance of the investment and be prepared to adjust strategies based on changing economic conditions.

Investing in a depressed economy involves inherent risks, but with careful analysis and consideration of these factors, you can make more informed investment decisions. It’s advisable to seek the advice of financial professionals or experts to navigate the complexities of investing in challenging economic environments.